CNN Money says:
Americans are already paying through the nose for gasoline, and they think it’s only going to get worse.
A CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll found that 94% of respondents expect they will have to pay $4 a gallon sometime this year – and 78% said they figure it will hit $5.
The national average for gasoline was $3.61 on Monday, according to motorist group AAA.
Consumers’ fears that they will have to pay more have intensified. A year ago, 79% thought gas would cost $4 by the end of 2007 and only 28% feared $5 gas.
At the same time, high prices seem to be easier to swallow now than it has been for most consumers in the past. Of the more than 1,000 American adults surveyed in the poll, conducted April 28-30, 60% said high fuel prices have caused hardship for them or their household. That’s down from 72% in March and 66% during the same time last year.
Demand for gas is down
But if Americans feel better able to absorb the rising price of gas, it might be because they are driving less. In fact, demand for gas is far below the average for this time of year.
“Gasoline is the most elastic of all commodities,” said Stephen Schork, editor of energy industry newsletter The Schork Report. “It takes a big jump in prices to alter commuters’ behavior, but it appears we have now approached that level.”
And with crude oil topping $120 a barrel for the first time Monday, gas may continue its historic rise.
“With oil prices so high and demand so low, refiners’ incentive to produce gasoline is very thin,” noted Schork, saying that low gasoline supplies have meant higher prices for consumers.
In addition to cutting back on driving, consumers are also buying more fuel-efficient vehicles. U.S. automakers reported a continued drop in SUV and truck sales in April, but smaller cars and hybrid vehicles have increased dramatically. Sales of Toyota’s hybrid Prius rose 67% in April.
No end in sight
Of course, for some Americans in California, Hawaii, and other western states, $4 gas is already a reality. Gas prices have set record after record, rising 18.4% nationwide this year. Most of that increase has come in the past month.
Last month, the U.S. Department of Energy said that the national average price of gasoline would hit a high of $3.60 this year. But gas prices have already surpassed that forecast well before the typical peak in gasoline prices in June, leading some analysts to raise their forecasts toward a high beyond $4.
“For gas prices to come down significantly, we’ll have to see a material depreciation in the value of crude, but with prices hitting $120, it doesn’t look like that’s happening any time soon,” Schork said.
“We’ll see a national average of $4, $4.10, $4.20 and maybe even $4.30,” added Schork, saying that $5 gas was indeed possible in certain parts of the country by the end of the spring.
Where do consumers place the blame? With oil companies like ExxonMobil (XOM, Fortune 500) and Chevron (CVX, Fortune 500) taking home record income in the past year, 83% said oil companies are making too much profit.
Darrell Barker says: With Oil tied to the dollar, we can expect these above impending prices as the dollar gets weaker. Sigh
For the time being, go to www.kickgasatthepump.com
[...] Sean Casey Palm Springs Real Estate Realtor (Greater Palm Springs Realty) wrote an interesting post today onHere’s a quick excerptCNN Money says:. Americans are already paying through the nose for gasoline, and they think it’s only going to get worse. A CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll found that 94% of respondents expect they will have to pay $4 a gallon sometime … [...]
By: CNN Breaking News » Blog Archive » Americans Anticipate And Fear $5.00 Gasoline on May 5, 2008
at 7:58 pm
[...] kickgas wrote an interesting post today on Americans Anticipate And Fear $5.00 GasolineHere’s a quick excerptOf course, for some Americans in California, Hawaii, and other western states, $4 gas is already a reality. Gas prices have set record after record, rising 18.4% nationwide this year. Most of that increase has come in the past month. … [...]
By: Gas Prices » Americans Anticipate And Fear $5.00 Gasoline on May 5, 2008
at 11:02 pm
America is like a junkie, we complain and grip how much gasoline cost, but we will not do anything about it.
If all Americans boycotted every convenient store in America and only bought gas on Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays. The price of gas would go down.
Instead we make sure the oil companies make more money so we go shopping in their stores and buy junk (which is everything in the store)
I refuse to make the oil company any more money then I have to, gas is high enough
By: lupe on May 12, 2008
at 7:50 pm
lupe,
OK, I’m with ya,
From this moment forward, I too refuse to purchase stuff from the oil companies “sugar shacks.”
Your MWF plan, I’m curious how the price of fuel would go down and by how much do you think it will be reduced?
Talk to me.
Darrell
http://www.kickgasatthepump.com
By: kickgas on May 13, 2008
at 8:16 pm
I live in Southern California and the price of gasoline is unreal I am very appalled with the way the gas is going in terms of prices at the pump and why hasn’t our government done something about it damn it. If there weren’t quite so many cars and trucks and if people were more considerate of other people on motorcycles I would make the investment in to purchasing a motorcycle, but I don’t particularly want to risk loosing my life due to some “Nut” not seeing me on a motor bike. For the sweet love of Jesus our Government needs to get off its damn ass and do something about the gas and food situation ASAP.
Signed,
Pissed Off.
By: Richard Gump on June 11, 2008
at 4:56 am
Speculation: Good for America but Manipulative Analysis = Crime against Humanity
June 20th, 2008
by MrArbitrage
Goldman Sachs is at it again. As we all know, oil was pulling back yesterday on news that China was going to stop subsidizing oil, which would require citizens to pay more out of pocket.
The common interpretation of that news was that it would assuage demand in China, which is often used by Goldman analysts to justify any arbitrary price target they conjure up.
Goldman didn’t waste any time today coming out with a “glass is half empty” proclamation saying “China price hike unlikely to curb demand”.
Frankly, with essential commodities, the firm should not be allowed to offer ANY analyst coverage if they have any type of position in a commodity, directly or indirectly – EVEN IF they disclose it (as they always do with stocks).
What they really need to do is treat people found guilty of market manipulation by knowingly disseminating false information for financial gain (or to avert losses) as those who commit treason against their country. The same should apply to analysts or firms who disseminate subjective information that cannot be proven false but clearly benefits the firm’s investment position. If the consequences are more severe than the typical short term vacation at Club Fed, I believe it would have a more viable effect than more government red tape.
For example, if it were to be found that analysts at investment firms were making outlandish, seemingly arbitrary price targets for oil; going to $200 per barrel while they or any subsidiary or hedge fund had a long position in oil at the time, they should be charged with treason, defined as “the betrayal of a trust or confidence; breach of faith; treachery.” I suspect there are firms doing this and the timing of Goldman’s public proclamations seem a bit suspicious. Whatever the case, it should be considered a crime against humanity as it has literally led to rioting and starvation in some countries.
Senators like Joe Lieberman and John McCain are calling for investigation of speculators. Speculation is good. Without it we would still be in the stone ages. Speculators alone have not caused the run up in oil to today’s levels. If it were speculation alone, this would have happened long ago. I believe it is the –ANALYSTS- who feed the frenzy of excessive speculation who are to blame and I think it would be naive to think they don’t have a vested interest somewhere along the line to make these ridiculous predictions while knowing they would become self-fulfilling prophecies – just like in the Tech/Internet bubble of the 90’s.
This bubble is much more harmful to the public because when analysts like Henry Blodget made outrageous recommendations and predictions for the valuation of Yahoo, the only people hurt were those who participated in the stock market – by choice. No matter how absurd the market cap of YHOO was at $200 BILLION – the consumer didn’t pay more for Yahoo’s services (free), the same with AOL or GE appliances. The consumer prices were not affected.
The analysts at these firms who are throwing gasoline on the fire (no pun intended) in the commodities market are destroying the financial well being of hundreds of millions of consumers. They have a constitutional right to express their beliefs regarding the future price of oil; however, if their firms are profiting from the upward direction of those oil prices by any means other than paid subscriptions to their analysis – they should be charged with crimes against humanity. Legislate THAT and you will see a much more circumspect approach to their analysis. I promise you.
More from MrArbitrage @
http://tableofwisdom.com/MrArbitrage_on_Market_.html
By: scott MrArbitrage on June 20, 2008
at 4:24 pm
Go watch THERE WILL BE BLOOD….The begining of all of our woes and our dependance on this stuff!!!
By: riveroflifelisajoy on June 20, 2008
at 11:31 pm